Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000997 0.001138 0.001279 0.001431 0.001590 0.001750 0.001923
2025-12-21 0.000803 0.001008 0.001221 0.001455 0.001705 0.001961 0.002243
2025-12-28 0.000610 0.000857 0.001121 0.001421 0.001748 0.002088 0.002467
2026-01-04 0.000476 0.000754 0.001064 0.001423 0.001821 0.002241 0.002714
2026-01-11 0.000355 0.000653 0.000998 0.001408 0.001870 0.002363 0.002924
2026-01-18 0.000258 0.000567 0.000941 0.001397 0.001918 0.002480 0.003124
2026-01-25 0.000155 0.000456 0.000845 0.001333 0.001901 0.002523 0.003240
2026-02-01 0.000090 0.000382 0.000786 0.001308 0.001925 0.002605 0.003396
2026-02-08 0.000049 0.000332 0.000753 0.001310 0.001977 0.002717 0.003582
2026-02-15 0.000023 0.000294 0.000732 0.001324 0.002039 0.002840 0.003778
2026-02-22 0.000007 0.000266 0.000722 0.001349 0.002114 0.002974 0.003984
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000223 0.000685 0.001338 0.002144 0.003056 0.004132
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000159 0.000620 0.001304 0.002164 0.003146 0.004314
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000127 0.000602 0.001331 0.002258 0.003325 0.004596
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000079 0.000544 0.001302 0.002283 0.003422 0.004787
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000050 0.000513 0.001305 0.002347 0.003564 0.005029
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000023 0.000472 0.001292 0.002388 0.003678 0.005238
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000006 0.000435 0.001282 0.002431 0.003794 0.005448
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000367 0.001221 0.002408 0.003828 0.005562
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000327 0.001196 0.002429 0.003915 0.005735
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000305 0.001199 0.002483 0.004039 0.005950
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000291 0.001212 0.002550 0.004178 0.006181
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001236 0.002631 0.004332 0.006430